Oscars 2022: predictions and favorites from Première

Who will be crowned best film: The Power of The Dog or Coda? Who can prevent Will Smith and Jessica Chastain from winning their first statuettes? Here are the favorites from the 94th Academy Awards… plus the editorial darlings

Bis repeat? Last year, Chloé Zhao made Oscar history by becoming the second director (after Kathryn Bigelow for Minesweepers in 2010) to win the Oscar double for Best Picture and Best Director. And Jane Campion could follow the same path with The Power of the dog (awarded for its staging at the Mostra) – topped the nominations (12) -, 28 years after having failed against Schindler’s List by Steven Spielberg. But the one who seemed the big favorite until a few weeks ago saw an outsider come back in her rear-view mirror, the big winner of the 2021 Sundance festival, Coda. The remake of The Aries Familyalso signed by a woman Sian Heder, has indeed just garnered all the major pre-Oscar awards, including the PGA Award which, over the past four years, has seen its winner three times (The Shape of Water, Green Book, nomadland) to win the Oscar for best, with the only exception 1917 who had to bow before Parasite. Is drive my car do the same thing again? Where will Steven Spielberg get his fourth and fifth Oscars (after the double of Schindler’s List and that of the realization for We have to save the soldier Ryanbeaten that year in the film category by… Shakespeare in love !) with West Side Story ?

These hypotheses seem relatively improbable. Which more broadly reflects the color of a ceremony where a lot of things seem to be decided in advance or almost. Will Smith indeed seems unbeatable in best actor for The Williams Method. Jessica Chastain leaves with a big head start on Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos) for best actress for In the eyes of Tammy Faye. What would be, like her male counterpart, her first statuette, nine years after being beaten for her performance in zero dark thirty by Jennifer Lawrence (Happiness therapy). And it is hard to see who, in supporting roles, could prevent the consecration of Troy Kotsur (Coda) and Ariana DeBose, the only cast member of West Side Story named, Ansel Elgort, Rachel Zegler and Rita Moreno having been zapped.

WHERE TO SEE THE FILMS NOMINATED FOR THE 2022 OSCARS?

This apparent lack of suspense is obviously not good news for a ceremony whose audiences have been in free fall for several editions. Even if it is obviously not the main responsible for it, the now regular absence among the films named of great popular successes necessarily explains much more this loss of interest. As if at the Césars, on a French scale, almost only films that had gathered less than 50,000 admissions competed. We are obviously years away Dancing with the wolves, Forrest Gump, titanic, The Lord of the Rings Where slumdog millionaire. Much to the chagrin of the evening’s producers.

And on our side of the Atlantic, after a year 2021 which saw Florian Zeller triumph (The Father) and Nicolas Becker (for the sound of sound of metal), we already know that the 2022 edition will not cause the same fireworks. Like Titaniumthe Cannes Palme d’Or chosen by us to represent our colors in the race for the Oscar for best foreign language film (where drive my car goes one step ahead of Julie (in 12 chapters)) and which has long since been excluded. Our hopes will rest on Bruno Delbonnel (Caesarized for A long engagement Sunday in 2006 and already nominated 5 times for the Oscars for Amelie Poulain, A long engagement Sunday, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince, Inside Llewyn Davis and The Dark Hours) for its magnificent black and white light of The Tragedy of Macbeth by Joel Coen. And two co-productions: Julie (in 12 chapters) and especially Flee, the remarkable animated documentary by Danish Jonas Poher Rasmussen recounting the turbulent fate of an Afghan who had to flee his country as a child when the mujahideen came to power in the late 1980s and who, at the age of 36, became an academic on about to marry in Denmark with the man who has shared her life for years. Co-financed by the Rennes-based company Vivement Monday!, the winner of the Grand Prix du Documentaire at Sundance in 2021 will be released in France on August 24, 2022. if he overthrew Encanto, would lie in the most flamboyant way the predicted side. Chick?

BEST FILM

He will have it: Coda

We would like it to have: West Side Story

BEST DIRECTOR

She’s gonna get it: Jane Campion for The Power of the dog

We wish she had it: Steven Spielberg for West Side Story

BEST ACTRESS

She’s Gonna Get It: Jessica Chastain in In the eyes of Tammy Faye

Wish She Had It: Kristen Stewart in spencer

BEST ACTOR

He’s Gonna Get It: Will Smith in The Williams Method

Wish He Had It: Andrew Garfield in Tick ​​Tick… ​​Boom!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

She’s Gonna Get It: Ariana DeBose in West Side Story

Wish She Had It: Ariana DeBose in West Side Story

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

He’s Gonna Get It: Troy Kotsur in Coda

We wish he had it: Troy Kotsur in Coda

BEST SCENARIO:

He will have it: Licorice Pizza

We would like it to have: Julie (in 12 chapters)

BEST SUITABLE SCENARIO

He will have it: Coda

We would like it to have: drive my car

BEST PHOTOGRAPHY

He’s Gonna Get It: Greig Fraser for Dunes

We wish he had it: Greig Fraser for Dunes

BEST ANIMATED FILM

He will have it: Encanto: The Fantastic Madrigal Family

We would like it to have: Flee

BEST FOREIGN FILM

He will have it: drive my car

We would like it to have: Julie (in 12 chapters)

BEST DOCUMENTARY

He will have it: summer of soul

We would like it to have: Flee

BEST SOUNDTRACK

He’s going to get it: Germaine Franco for Encanto: The Fantastic Madrigal Family

We wish he had it: Germaine Franco for Encanto: The Fantastic Madrigal Family

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